PODCAST: FORECAST FOR SW FLORIDA 2026: PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY.

Listen Above 2:25

 

  • Southwest Florida from Marco Island to Punta Gorda is one of the slowest housing markets in the U.S. to show recovery.
  • Single home prices may drop in 2026, but not significantly
  • Interest rate cuts will help both buyers and sellers.

 

We all know how accurate forecasts can be, right? Just remember the last time the weather said sunshine and you were caught outside without an umbrella.

That kind of accuracy has many applications in life. Take crystal-balling real estate.

As we look ahead to the end of this year and what may come in 2026, we have intel from fairly reliable sources that the Fed will be cutting rates at least a couple of times in the coming months — helping to stimulate buyers and put a smile on the face of sellers.

A low single digit decline won’t crush most home sellers, and anything that drops pricing is a home buyer’s friend.

Now along comes Veros Real Estate Solutions, a national provider of automated valuation models (AVMs), as well as residential market forecasts, home price indices, market risk scoring tools and mark-to-market methodologies. If that sounds a touch confusing, don’t stress. They know their stuff.

And their stuff says that home prices in the Fort Myers and Cape Coral metro statistical area could decline 3.1% or thereabouts by the end of 2026. Naples and Marco Island check in at 2.6% decline, with Punta Gorda at 2.3%.

In our opinion, that’s not bad news. A low single digit decline won’t crush most home sellers, and anything that drops pricing is a home buyer’s friend.

 

Looking to buy? Looking to sell? Look no further than Milissa Sprecher Realtor and Jackson Sprecher Realtor. Tap to call Milissa here. Tap to call Jackson here.

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